We are less than two weeks out now from the 2020 Presidential election and Donald Trump's campaign reeks of panic. In one three day period covering last weekend fact checkers found the Commander in Chief had either lied, or made misleading statements 66 times. It is a prodigious number even for a seasoned pro like our man, Don.
In fact things have gone so badly for Mr. Trump lately the Biden people have been emailing supporters urging them not to become complacent. Indeed, keep the foot on the gas, so to speak, don't let the bastard sneak back into the race and never forget what happened in 2016.
Ah, yes. That wretched year the nightmare began--when all the polls were wrong and Hillary Clinton screwed the pooch.
Except for one thing. Those polls that showed she was winning were right, they were just interpreted wrong.
Thanks to the electoral college national polls don't mean squat in the United States. Just ask the aforementioned Mrs. Clinton. She won the popular vote, as the polls predicted, but because her margin of victory was based largely in only two states, she lost the White House. If the media had gone state by state, where in several instances her lead was within the margin of error, or non existent they would have realized she was in trouble.
And now there are a couple of indicators Donald Trump isn't in as bad of shape as even he thinks. That's right, as the horses turn the corner into the stretch, The Big Orange Guy looks to be coming up on the rail.
Today the latest Rasmussen poll shows Trump's approval rating has gone from 49% to 52%. No sitting President with an approval rating over 50% has ever lost a reelection bid.. We can only speculate what sort of drugs over half those polled have been taking in order to approve of what El Donald has done this year, but the cold fact is they did.
In addition, with the possible exception of Pennsylvania, Trump is leading, or competitive in each of the swing states he carried four years ago. In other words if things break his way in North Carolina, Florida, Texas, Wisconsin and one, or two more he can lose Pennsylvania and still come out on top.
He also has the advantage of being a cult leader with a following so rabid it is, for all practical purposes, a religion. Joe Biden has to constantly urge people to go vote and walk a fine line between different democratic wings. Donald Trump doesn't have to worry about the commitment of his base. He literally could shoot someone in the middle of Fifth Ave for no reason and still get their votes.
The two candidates face off tonight in the second and last debate. It is doubtful either man will move any voters from one side to the other as a result of it. In fact, some of us who have already voted plan on skipping the thing entirely. After all there are many fine shows and movies to be found on basic cable TV so why spend 90 minutes of your life listening to Trump spew his vile nonsense. Especially if a new episode of "Ghost Adventures," is airing.
Yes, the real drama will come November 3rd and the week following. Biden has every right to be concerned, because it is going to be a close run thing. Close enough that the final decision, as Lindsey Graham predicted weeks ago, might fall to Donald Trump's handpicked Supreme Court.
sic vita est
10-22-20
I have had the impression for a long time that mainstream conservatives are looking for the right time to distance themselves from Trump without damaging themselves with constituents. So, am wondering, what will the conservative Supreme Court do with Trump related issues? Once sworn in, justices are beholden to nobody, and we have been surprised many times by how a justice votes. Were I Trump, would not take the 6-3 majority on the Court for granted on a case by case basis. I have feeling the Court will not want to be faulted in any way with electioneering issues. I think the Great One may be unpleasantly surprised with opinions issued concerning him. The younger justices are going to be around a helluva lot longer than he will be.
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